Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
9 July 2015

An El Nino event active since March 2015 will almost certainly last through 2015 and is likely to extend into early 2016. 
The intensity of this event is increasing with a peak expected in the last quarter of 2015 and there is a significant chance that it may become one of the strongest events of the past 30 years.
The timing of the event means that it will influence all growing seasons of the northern hemisphere (broadly from May to October) as well as those of equatorial regions (Horn of Africa, Indonesia) of late 2015 and of southern Africa and South America from late 2015 to early 2016. 
The possible impacts are wide ranging and generally negative in countries facing food insecurity.

Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
6 July 2015

The WFP Seasonal Monitor examines satellite imagery of rainfall and vegetation in order to assess the development of the growing season and how such conditions might impact the lives and livelihoods of the resident populations. Real time satellite data streams and seasonal forecasts are analyzed to highlight potential developments that may be of  humanitarian concern.

This Seasonal Monitor webpage provides real time satellite data streams and seasonal forecasts to highlight changes in the progression of the agricultural season that may be of concern. This analysis is also presented in Power Point and report format.

Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
30 June 2015

The Global Food Security Update provides an overview of the food security trends in 57 countries in six regions and offers an outlook for the 3-6 months following its release. It is based on food security monitoring reports, updates from WFP’s regional and country-based Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping (VAM) units and a review of secondary information.

Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
25 June 2015
  • In May, continuing conflict caused massive displacement and increased food insecurity in parts of Iraq; 257,000 people have been displaced from Ramadi and neighbouring districts.
  • Food security indicators were poorer for internally displaced persons (IDPs), and particularly for people living in unfinished housing and in camps. In May, IDPs consumed fewer protein-rich foods such as meat, eggs and dairy, compared to previous months. Half of displaced households reported lacking food, or the money to buy food, in the week before the survey.
  • In May, the price of a standard food basket dropped by 10–20 percent in most markets in central and northern governorates. The purchasing power also improved, yet it still remains particularly weak in Anbar.
  • Public Distribution System (PDS) supplies could have played a price stabilization role in conflict zones. While overall PDS distributions of wheat flour and rice improved in May, low access continued to contribute to food access difficulties for many households.
Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
27 May 2015
  • Food security is of particular concern for areas that were directly affected by conflict and displacement in April, including the governorates of Anbar, Duhok, Ninewa and Diyala. Vulnerability is highest amongst people who have been displaced, those who have received no public distribution system (PDS) ration and those living in unfinished buildings, camps, host communities or rented accommodation.
  • Anbar, Duhok and Ninewa – which have large numbers of internally displaced persons (IDPs) – had the highest rates of poor and borderline food consumption (20 – 33%), and the highest rate of negative coping.
  • IDPs in Anbar – who have been recently displaced – are highly vulnerable to food insecurity: one third have a borderline diet.
  • Compared to March, food prices increased in April, particularly in conflict-affected Anbar (+28%) and Salah-al-Din (+18%). Falling wages further reduced purchasing power. Over 80 percent of all respondents did not receive any PDS rations in April.
Market Analysis, Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
27 May 2015

In February 2015, WFP started remote phone-based data collection and food security monitoring in Iraq through the mVAM (mobile Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping) approach. Survey respondents are contacted via text message (SMS) and live calls, and asked to respond to a short series of questions on food markets and household food consumption and coping.

Baseline Assessments, Coping Strategies, Crop and Food Assessments, Crop Production, Emergency Assessments, Food Consumption, Initial Assessment, Livelihoods, Livestock Prices, Market Analysis, Monitoring, National Capacity, Population Numbers and Sampling, Qualitative Analysis, Refugees and IDPs, Terms of Trade, Urban Food Insecurity, Food Security Analysis
25 May 2015

The Food Security Analysis factsheet provides key information on the various aspects of Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping work at WFP, the different assessment tools, specific initiatives and key facts for 2015.

Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
23 April 2015
  • Conflict is negatively affecting the Iraqi population’s food security, particularly in the governorates of Ninewa, Kirkuk, Salah Al-Din and Duhok, where nearly one in ten households are consuming a borderline or inadequate diet. Chronic food insecurity persists in the governorates of Wassit and Muthanna.
  • The food security of Iraq’s 2.68 million internally displaced people (IDPs) has been particularly affected. Their diets have deteriorated and one in four IDP households are using negative coping strategies – a far higher proportion than among non-displaced households.
  • More people have received rations through the government-run public distribution system (PDS) in the south than in central and northern governorates.
  • Households in conflict-affected areas such as Anbar, parts of Ninewa and Kirkuk are facing higher prices for staple foods and reduced purchasing power.
Market Analysis, Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
31 March 2015
  • Ongoing conflict and blocked supply lines continue to cause high food prices in Anbar, Ninewa and Kirkuk. Particularly in Anbar, the price differential for wheat flour and sugar with Baghdad has increased substantially since February.
  • In Ninewa, conflict has caused food scarcity and high food prices. Here, people’s purchasing power is the lowest of all surveyed governorates, because of a lack of job opportunities and low wage levels. In Anbar and Diyala, purchasing power has fallen by a quarter since February.
  • Domestic wheat stocks available for milling are low, as are imported stocks. Crop prospects are uncertain: the conflict has meant less planting, especially across southern and central regions.
Market Analysis, Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
11 March 2015
  • Conflict has severely disrupted supply lines to Anbar, Salah Al-Din and Kirkuk, pushing up the price of a basic food basket and causing shortages of fresh fruit, meat, eggs and dairy. In these governorates, reduced Public Distribution System (PDS) distributions are keeping wheat flour prices high.
  • In early March, food prices in Salah Al-Din increased significantly due to ongoing conflict.
  • In conflict-affected areas, casual labour opportunities are limited and wage rates are low. This is undermining people’s ability to purchase food and other basic goods.
  • The prospects for the 2015 winter crop are uncertain in conflict-affected parts of Anbar, Salah Al-Din and Diyala.