The September Post-Gu assessment in Somalia states that 3.17 million people are in Crisis (IPC phase 3) or Stressed (IPC phase 2) conditions. Compared to the previous Deyr 2012/13 season, the number of people in crisis decreased to 0.87 million from 1.05 million, under stress increased to 2.3 million from 1.8 million. Overall, the average to above average July-August Gu harvest resulted in a maize and sorghum production 24 % higher than the 2008-2012 average. However, maize production was very poor in Northwest Agropastoral livelihood zone and well below average Gu rainfall were registered in some areas of the central regions and the Shabelles.
The Greater Horn of Africa Outlook Forum forecast suggests that below average rainfall is likely from October through December, which might affect crops and livestock in parts of Somalia.