Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
9 July 2015

An El Nino event active since March 2015 will almost certainly last through 2015 and is likely to extend into early 2016. 
The intensity of this event is increasing with a peak expected in the last quarter of 2015 and there is a significant chance that it may become one of the strongest events of the past 30 years.
The timing of the event means that it will influence all growing seasons of the northern hemisphere (broadly from May to October) as well as those of equatorial regions (Horn of Africa, Indonesia) of late 2015 and of southern Africa and South America from late 2015 to early 2016. 
The possible impacts are wide ranging and generally negative in countries facing food insecurity.

Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
6 July 2015

The WFP Seasonal Monitor examines satellite imagery of rainfall and vegetation in order to assess the development of the growing season and how such conditions might impact the lives and livelihoods of the resident populations. Real time satellite data streams and seasonal forecasts are analyzed to highlight potential developments that may be of  humanitarian concern.

This Seasonal Monitor webpage provides real time satellite data streams and seasonal forecasts to highlight changes in the progression of the agricultural season that may be of concern. This analysis is also presented in Power Point and report format.

Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
30 June 2015

The Global Food Security Update provides an overview of the food security trends in 57 countries in six regions and offers an outlook for the 3-6 months following its release. It is based on food security monitoring reports, updates from WFP’s regional and country-based Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping (VAM) units and a review of secondary information.

Baseline Assessments, Coping Strategies, Crop and Food Assessments, Crop Production, Emergency Assessments, Food Consumption, Initial Assessment, Livelihoods, Livestock Prices, Market Analysis, Monitoring, National Capacity, Population Numbers and Sampling, Qualitative Analysis, Refugees and IDPs, Terms of Trade, Urban Food Insecurity, Food Security Analysis
25 May 2015

The Food Security Analysis factsheet provides key information on the various aspects of Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping work at WFP, the different assessment tools, specific initiatives and key facts for 2015.

Market Analysis, Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
28 April 2015

This bulletin provides information on price changes for the most commonly consumed staples and their potential impacts on the cost of the basic food basket.

Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
28 February 2015

The mVAM project is piloting food security data collection from households through short mobile phone surveys, using live telephone interviews and an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system. The pilot project monitors a panel of some 600 households in total in Democratic Republic of Congo and Somalia for a period of 12 months.

The short surveys ask questions about people’s food security and coping strategies used. The objective of the pilot is to learn about the suitability of voice calls for survey research in the humanitarian world, and to see if voice calls can make food security monitoring surveys more time and cost efficient. The high frequency data collected is used to track trends in vulnerability and support decision making processes.

Monthly data collection began in the Democratic Republic of Congo in February 2014 and in Somalia in May 2014. Datasets and bulletins will be posted on this site.

The project is supported by the Humanitarian Innovation Fund.

Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
31 December 2014
  • The percentage of households with poor or borderline food consumption has remained high over the months of November and December.
  • The food security situation of IDPs in Galkayo seems to be deteriorating as more than half of the people had to sell off assets or send a family member to beg in order to cope with the situation and meet their food needs.
Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
30 September 2014
  • The percentage of households classified as having ‘borderline’ or ‘poor’ food consumption remained stable at elevated levels between August and September 2014.
  • September marks the peak of the lean season for IDPs in Central Somalia.
Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
31 August 2014
  • In August, data shows an upward trend in the share of respondents with poor or borderline food consumption from 12.9% in May (3.7% poor and 9.2% borderline) to 21.9% in August (9.4% poor and 12.5% moderated).
  • The most common strategies used by respondent households to obtain food were: “selling non-productive assets”, “purchasing or borrowing food on credit”, “engaging in casual labour” and “withdrawing children from school”. From May to August, the share of households with “poor” food consumption are resorting to ‘stress’ strategies increased significantly.


Monitoring, Food Security Analysis
31 October 2011

This note provides an update on the expected weather conditions for the Horn of Africa in the run-up and during the next growing season which will start from mid-September and last until mid-January. It is based on seasonal forecasts which predict three month rainfall totals and three month average temperature up to four months in advance. Hence, currently available forecasts already cover the upcoming growing season.