Market Analysis, Food Security Analysis
11 February 2015

This paper reports the findings of a countrywide rapid market assessment. Some of the key findings of the study include:

  • Uncertainty and an over-reliance on oil exports have led to a depreciating unofficial exchange rate and almost exhausted foreign exchange reserves;
  • Conflict continues to impact trade flows, mainly in states directly affected by conflict;
  • Supply chains are restricted by conflict as well as by structural market inefficiencies;
  • The combined effect of the conflict and the poor road network has isolated already fragmented markets;
  • The large variation in prices across markets confirms inefficiencies and food availability issues;
  • There is a mixed picture about the capacity of markets to secure food supply and a relatively stable market environment to support market-based interventions.
Market Analysis, Monitoring, Population Numbers and Sampling, Food Security Analysis
23 November 2014

WFP VAM publishes ‘Special Focus’ documents when an emerging food security issue deserves in-depth attention. Each ‘Special Focus’ bulletin provides essential elements of analysis for decision makers. Sources of information include WFP’s VAM  newtwork of VAM experts, and  our partners.

Market Analysis, Monitoring, Food Prices, Food Security Analysis
4 February 2014

South Sudan was affected by poor macro-economic performance even before the breakout of the current crisis, showing declining per capita GDP, shortage of foreign reserves, deflation, and a high spread between official and informal exchange rates.
Despite the improved harvest, the country will still have to import the equivalent of about half of its cereal production. Imports will likely be affected by the conflict.
Weak infrastructure constrains the functioning of markets and their integration, which drive broad price differences across markets and affect households’ purchasing power.
Local food prices are high, volatile and likely to increase further with the conflict. Given the high market dependency of many households, market disruptions due to the conflict, and population displacement, food insecurity is likely to increase in the coming months.
The states most affected by the conflict, namely Jonglei, Upper Nile and Unity, had the highest prevalence of household food insecurity prior to the conflict.